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Home Warrington Wolves Today’s match v Saints.



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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2024 12:42 pm 
Player Coach
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Joined: Jan 28 2006
Posts: 676
rubber duckie wrote:In which case to say my post is untruthful, is utter bollox.

I’ll give you a piece of advice, and you’re free to do with it as you wish…

Bookies trust stats because they have too. And yes the longer the stats are, the more reliable they become.
But bookies also lose, otherwise we wouldn’t use them.
And they lose because a times the stats breakdown.

The stats now show Warrington with greater odds, but only in the last month.
Wire have gone against the stats grain and lost a couple of games in the last month, that they really ought to have won, and where heavy odds on to do so.
Those 2 games have turned the stats on its head.

Now what bookies hate, is someone having a little bit of knowledge.
There are reasons why Warrington got beaten.
Warrington playing disadvantage in numbers. Resting players, key players, Dufty, out injured, with a view to be ready soon.

In addition Wire played 2 big derby games back to back, and one with disadvantaged in numbers and won them big, but found themselves fatigued 6 days later against a fresh KR team.
These are all very sound reasons to Warrington failing v KR and in the last month.
Those circumstances twist the form guide/stats to make Wire look the lest best out of the top 3. We are not.

Those little bits of knowledge is what makes someone who isn’t close enough to the club, to only trust the stats.
It’s how gamblers at the bookies lose their money.
It’s called “paper form”…and bookies love it!!

I know that Warrington at near full strength, that don’t find themselves playing a man down, will easily beat Hull KR, and will edge Wigan.

I trust what I have seen, not what the form guide says.
I hope you will not lose too much money on Hull KR, but you will lose, and you can take that to the bank.


You know that Warrington will easily beat Hull KR, edge Wigan but you only give them an equal chance of winning the grand final as Hull KR and Wigan?

First you say Hull KR, Wigan and Warrington each have an equal chance of winning the grand final, which clearly isn't true, and now you say this.

What a load of waffle :CRAZY:

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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2024 1:00 pm 
Moderator
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Joined: Feb 10 2012
Posts: 6045
Location: Stuck in 1982
nathan_rugby wrote:You know that Warrington will easily beat Hull KR, edge Wigan but you only give them an equal chance of winning the grand final as Hull KR and Wigan?

First you say Hull KR, Wigan and Warrington each have an equal chance of winning the grand final, which clearly isn't true, and now you say this.

What a load of waffle :CRAZY:


No you're wrong he really knows this

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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2024 3:10 pm 
Player Coach
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Joined: Jun 25 2006
Posts: 14129
Location: Forum21
Duckie, based on your admirable confidence, how much have you staked on Wire winning the GF and at what odds?

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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2024 3:52 pm 
Club Captain
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Joined: Jul 17 2015
Posts: 4682
Location: Sitting on the naughty step
Why does anyone argue with RD? Ive never known him be *wrong about anything Rugby related.

*(should read “admit to being wrong”)






Just my opinions unless it's a FACT, in which case it's a fact.

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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2024 4:46 pm 
Moderator
Moderator

Joined: Mar 01 2002
Posts: 39717
Captain Hook wrote:Why does anyone argue with RD? Ive never known him be *wrong about anything Rugby related.

*(should read “admit to being wrong”)



i aliken it to 'steiner math'

https://youtu.be/msDuNZyYAIQ?si=BsNPBck3XmDXfvxq
Captain Hook wrote:Why does anyone argue with RD? Ive never known him be *wrong about anything Rugby related.

*(should read “admit to being wrong”)



i aliken it to 'steiner math'

https://youtu.be/msDuNZyYAIQ?si=BsNPBck3XmDXfvxq

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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2024 4:59 pm 
International Chairman
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Joined: Mar 24 2013
Posts: 34136
Captain Hook wrote:Why does anyone argue with RD? Ive never known him be *wrong about anything Rugby related.

*(should read “admit to being wrong”)


Never made a bet on RL in my life, but Duckie has almost persuaded me to back us to win the Grand Final this year.

I need help!!!

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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2024 6:55 pm 
Club Captain
Club Captain
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Joined: Jul 17 2015
Posts: 4682
Location: Sitting on the naughty step
Boss Hog wrote:Never made a bet on RL in my life, but Duckie has almost persuaded me to back us to win the Grand Final this year.

I need help!!!

was it last year we were going to win everything or the year before…or both?






Just my opinions unless it's a FACT, in which case it's a fact.

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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2024 6:57 pm 
Player Coach
Player Coach

Joined: Apr 09 2010
Posts: 13158
Location: The Moon
I thought attention seeking days were long past.

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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Wed Sep 11, 2024 6:58 pm 
Club Captain
Club Captain
User avatar

Joined: Jul 17 2015
Posts: 4682
Location: Sitting on the naughty step
Fantastic Mr Catpiss wrote:i aliken it to 'steiner math'

https://youtu.be/msDuNZyYAIQ?si=BsNPBck3XmDXfvxq

Oh my…I mean OH MY! Maths was never my strong point but
Fantastic Mr Catpiss wrote:i aliken it to 'steiner math'

https://youtu.be/msDuNZyYAIQ?si=BsNPBck3XmDXfvxq

Oh my…I mean OH MY! Maths was never my strong point but






Just my opinions unless it's a FACT, in which case it's a fact.

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 Post subject: Re: Today’s match v Saints.
PostPosted: Thu Sep 12, 2024 1:34 pm 
Player Coach
Club Captain
User avatar

Joined: Jan 27 2008
Posts: 3261
Location: Dubai
Fantastic Mr Catpiss wrote:i aliken it to 'steiner math'

https://youtu.be/msDuNZyYAIQ?si=BsNPBck3XmDXfvxq


I love the fact he's really gone to town to learn all that, instead of the usual wrestler-rhetoric. He must have sat down and worked it all out on paper, like a Christopher Nolan movie plot.
Fantastic Mr Catpiss wrote:i aliken it to 'steiner math'

https://youtu.be/msDuNZyYAIQ?si=BsNPBck3XmDXfvxq


I love the fact he's really gone to town to learn all that, instead of the usual wrestler-rhetoric. He must have sat down and worked it all out on paper, like a Christopher Nolan movie plot.

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