Smithers99 wrote:You keep quoting the figures you want rather than trying to find out what is actually correct. You did it with Portsmouth and again here. Your assuming 750 fans, your assuming it is 200K and your assuming no office space.
You quoted "between 200 and 500k"....I'm just selecting the bottom figure. A few years back, it was stated that about 65-70% of actual ticketing revenue ever reached the club, but I've simplified it to 750 x 20 quid = 15k x 13 = 195k. If I'm out, I'm out by less than 10%, on that I'll wager money
Before I continue, take on board that I've crossed swords with the club for close to 2 decades, have access to far more information than they would like and I am very rarely wrong when it comes to the club.
Smithers99 wrote:I haven't got a clue how many AFC Wimbledon fans attended and I was there. Where to you get 500 from? You also assumed everyone of them was paying a pound which I GUARANTEE wasn't true.
Hey. I have gone on record as saying that 450 widnes, 500 dons and 600 freebies to the community will be hard to match on Sunday week.....I said 750-850 was my predicted attendance for the haven game...let's see where I'm at then shall we
Smithers99 wrote:The rent is based on attendances and was based on what the Broncos were getting. As you appear to have the figures, what was the average attendances in 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021? It's very relevant to the rent charge. I think I have a good idea, but I don't have a reliable source for that.
I have every seasons average since the start of SL, but none of them matter. I repeat, you quoted the dons trust claiming "between 200k and 500k"......no matter what went before, if I were the dons trust or a member of the trust, I'd expect 200k
Smithers99 wrote:No permanent office space is correct, but what about occasional desk space? Not quite the same of course, but not everything is necessarily black and white.
So no office space....but you can plug in a lap top? Stoop version 1 we had a port-a-cabin, stoop 2 we had an office as well as 4 desks in the main office....well, we did until Hughes ruined that relationship.
Smithers99 wrote:As you are aware AFC Wimbledon is a fans owned club and as such requires majority (or greater) voting on key decisions by Dons Trust Members. Accepting the ground share with the Broncos went to a vote. Effectively you have a CEO responsible for running the club, but he is reliant on fans making logical decisions. AFC Wimbledon forums aren't dissimilar to this forum, both will have fans voting against anything. As a result some of the information shared by the club can have a spin. In the same way you choose to paint the worst financial picture for the Broncos and AFC Wimbledon, the AFC Wimbledon CEO is trying to paint a positive picture. For example, he doesn't want the ground share voted out just because fans don't want Broncos branding at their ground.
The CEO of the London Broncos happened to be the accountant when the African shyster scarpered. He's no more qualified to be a CEO than the kit man. He makes bad decisions and then him and the commercial manager stonewall or banish any dissenting voices. I am sure that AFC and the trust are keen for London Broncos to work, for multiple reasons, but let's face it, be it Rugby League, Gridiron, Lacrosse or any other sport, the main reason for a tenant is to help you with the mortgage...and as you've stated, 200k to 500k is the expected income, so I'll stick to my 15k a game.
Smithers99 wrote:There was an SGM held in which the vote was made. What was said made it blatantly clear there wasn't a guaranteed 200K. It was dependent on crowds. Two people at that SGM (board level) both referred to the Rugby League season starting at the end of March by the way, implying only a month of a shared pitch pre-summer. Nothing I heard was a blatant lie by the way, including the start date (April start anyone?)
So...to be clear. You've invited a tenant into your new home and accept that they'll only pay what they can afford? Dons Trust and Hughes seem well matched if that is true
Smithers99 wrote:As Mash Tun mentioned, there is a breakpoint. It wasn't shared out of respect to the Broncos but was said to be perfectly reasonable, which suggests too me that will be after two (or one) years.
I'll be amazed if the Broncos are at Plough Lane in 2023. 2018, the year the side finished 2nd and wo promotion, 919 was the average gate. I predict that 2022 will see a similar average....Hughes and his idiots have form here.....crowds fall, we move......I suspect Wimbledon will break all records for being our shortest stay anywhere.
Smithers99 wrote:You appear to be a good ideas man, have some excellent knowledge, but I'm having trouble with the figures you draw into arguments using some very poor sources. I don't claim to have great sources, but I those I have are more accurate.
Hmm....you've quoted 200k to 500k, then alleged that it was never assured 200k rent and said apparently we get money per pint, but have no idea how much.....cast iron figures they are not, no matter what you say.
Here's some factual figures leaked to me in 2012. In 2009, the club paid Harlequins £227,850 in Rent, which included 13 League games and a cup tie. 3,486 was the league attendance average and the matchday ticketing income as listed on the P&L was £659.750. That equates to about £50k a game. That income per game dropped to less than £400k in 2012 when Hughes nearly ran us into the ground, but we were still covering the rent.
Smithers99 wrote:I'm not suggesting the strategy will work and suspect the marketing budget was badly spent. A week ago I couldn't see anyway the venture would succeed. But looking a bit closer at the numbers there is a chance. What they tell me is that offers can still be made to get fans in (I don't mean £1) especially if the club can maximise the secondary spend.
We have an accountant and a kit-wear aggregator in charge, assisted by a student on twitter......Hmmmm
Smithers99 wrote:The Fans Zone offers that. As mentioned get permission for live music, with the beer flowing, food grilling and children's activities running into the summer evenings. Full price ticket with a free beer included for example. Buy one or two more in the sun (hopefully!) and you've probably repaid the discount and covered the beer at cost.
Now who's pulling figures out of their hat? 60-65% of the full price ticket is the revenue received after various factors come into play (SOFTWARE LICENCE ETC). The beer is already subsidised, but if the brewery aren't playing ball, then that's a non starter. We had bouncy castles, petting zoos, bands, mini rugby at half time......you really are just waxing lyrical about "jumpers for goalposts" in those long summer evenings, except we won't be there for a fair chunk of them, as we're not allowed on the park for nearly 2 months
Smithers99 wrote:Are they showing signs of being able to do that? Initial thoughts are no, but the key is to improve.
Then it's over before it starts....
Smithers99 wrote: The football club have made ongoing changes to improve customer experience, which basically means more income. The Broncos need to build the foundations this year. They appear to have an owner who will initially cover the losses. It was obvious to me (before I saw the first match) that the quality in the squad will need to be improved to give any chance of long term stability. That improvement needs to be made gradually this season and continue next. With my limited experience the second half on Sunday was way better, so there has already been improvement albeit from a position they were never good enough to have a sniff of winning. Some key missing players will help when they return, and I'm guessing maybe one or two future signings if the crowd levels support it.
Shoulda, coulda, woulda......the owner will spit his dummy, the fans will not flock back and unless you've found 18 Aussie bar staff with NRL experience, the team will struggle all year. In the last full championship season we ended the season with a +21 points per game and the average number of points in every game we played was 54.....we stuck 42 on Featherstone Rovers, 47 on Toronto and then scored 60+ points the following 3 weeks......this year we will concede more than we score!
Smithers99 wrote:What I can't comment on is the overall costs to the Broncos. Match day staff, training grounds, player costs etc. I'd assume though that the latter has reduced significantly due to becoming part time. If I'm correct that the Broncos retain the majority of the ticket price, there is a good income per individual spectator. I assume Ealing had rent costs, presumably much smaller, but far greater player costs. Assuming the AFC Wimbledon model is based on ticket revenue, there will be a break point at which the Broncos run as a going concern (or at the same losses per season as at Ealing if income did not exceed expenditure). The key is to hit those numbers, and I accept there MAY be serious flaws in the organisation meaning that won't be achieved. But as an outsider it doesn't appear impossible.
With the current owner, the current staff, the current coach and the current squad, this will be a short sharp death compared to the agony supporters have endured over the last 15 years....