Joined: Jan 31 2011 Posts: 167 Location: Christchurch, New Zealand
We all know that usually the team that comes up from a lower league is odds on to go back down. Yes we are doing well and mid to top table looks achievable. Honestly though I'd be happy with some stability and looking at promotion in the next year or two.
So we have 16 points, how safe are we? I think just the bottom team relagated this season, which is currently Rochdale with 2 points. Anyone know the figures if we are secure. Seems silly to ask but you never know in this game.
Unless we either undergo a full on financial meltdown again or we endure a massive injury crisis, I don't see us having to worry about relegation.
In reality, if we could get back some of our injured players back in the side along with a couple of extra players we should be easily able to push for a top 5 finish
Joined: Jan 10 2013 Posts: 3546 Location: No longer Bradford
Probably safe in theory barring a full on meltdown, but mathematically, far from it. In fact not even Toronto are mathematically safe because nobody has played half their games yet.
Another 17 points gained on Swinton and 16 on Barrow for that. Which means another 8 wins and a draw from 14 remaining games. Of course every time those teams lose one each, that's one less Bradford need to win too.
I've compared to Swinton & Barrow purely because despite Rochdale being bottom, they have 2 games in hand. Which means they could gain more points (mathematically) than Swinton & Barrow. Although whether that happens or not will become evident in the next 3 or 4 months.
Joined: Jun 07 2005 Posts: 13012 Location: blackpool tower circus
For me yes Bradford are safe , the bottom 3 this season will be Barrow, Swinton, the Rochdale , who are the weakest team in the Championship. I think the race for the top 5 this season will be very close after Toronto and Toulouse, could even go on points difference, my top 5 are .
Toronto, Toulouse. Bradford. Leigh. Fev. In this order.
Joined: Feb 17 2002 Posts: 28357 Location: MACS0647-JD
I calculated the results of all remaining fixtures of all clubs, making the assumption that we never win another game, every result in every game went against us, that wherever possible no team above us beats a team below us.
There would be other possible permutations because as the season goes on the definition of one team being "below" or "above" another changes, but overall, the worst case scenario final league table would look something like this:
So I think we need 3 more wins to be mathematically safe. But the combination of results that would be needed for us to need 3 more wins is so bizarre, I think a Brexit by noon tomorrow is more likely. So not mathematically, but for all practical purposes, we are I conclude safe.
Last edited by Ferocious Aardvark on stardate Jun 26, 3013 11:27 am, edited 48,562,867,458,300,023 times in total
Joined: Jun 02 2015 Posts: 1004 Location: Rossendale
Ferocious Aardvark wrote:I calculated the results of all remaining fixtures of all clubs, making the assumption that we never win another game, every result in every game went against us, that wherever possible no team above us beats a team below us.
There would be other possible permutations because as the season goes on the definition of one team being "below" or "above" another changes, but overall, the worst case scenario final league table would look something like this:
So I think we need 3 more wins to be mathematically safe. But the combination of results that would be needed for us to need 3 more wins is so bizarre, I think a Brexit by noon tomorrow is more likely. So not mathematically, but for all practical purposes, we are I conclude safe.
You haven't accounted for an unlikely administration scenario!
"If you don't believe you can do something, you have no chance at all" - Arsene Wenger
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