Joined: Dec 05 2001 Posts: 25122 Location: Aleph Green
vbfg wrote:Don't bank on it. There are as many reasons for the right to hate Obama as there are right wingers and it's only certain groups that think the above about him. For the most part they're in states that would give all their electoral college votes to the Republicans whoever they put up. Most of the evangelicals are in Kentucky and above rather than the south proper. They're the ones that aren't going to vote for a Mormon, and their votes decide Iowa, Ohio, Indiana and places like that.
Expect shenanigans at the republican convention when, despite Romney having the clear majority, they try to launch a party unity candidate. That's what my wingnut friends in deepest darkest Mass are hoping for.
My money is on Chris Christie. You only need look at the who's who of money backing him (the Koch brothers being an obvious example). He doesn't stand a cat in hell's chance of winning a Republican primary because of his religious views. But if it were possible to stop any one of Gingrich, Santorum & Romney (and it certainly IS possible) from getting too far ahead in the polls he could slip in via the back door. Short of that the money will go to Romney. Corporate America isn't his biggest fan but better that option than Gingrich (too prone to self-destruct) and Santorum (not business ENOUGH and completely out of the question).
Joined: Dec 22 2001 Posts: 6844 Location: The Motorway City of the 1970s
In a real brokered convention the delegates get to break away from the candidates they have been selected/bound to vote for and can excercise free will. Although it depends who they are and how the individual state selection rules work, you would think they are more likely to be part of the Republican base and, by implication, hardcore religious fanatics. Party unity and electability have every chance of going out of the window - Chris Christie would have no chance but it's how Santorum could get the nomination - and even he's a Catholic.
Anyway back to Dave; I would imagine Obama's probably a little right wing for Cameron's taste.
Let all the doubters keep doubting and those who believe keep believing.
We’re only interested in those in the bubble. Anyone who wants to come in the bubble, you can come in.
Joined: Dec 05 2001 Posts: 25122 Location: Aleph Green
MjM wrote:In a real brokered convention the delegates get to break away from the candidates they have been selected/bound to vote for and can excercise free will. Although it depends who they are and how the individual state selection rules work, you would think they are more likely to be part of the Republican base and, by implication, hardcore religious fanatics. Party unity and electability have every chance of going out of the window - Chris Christie would have no chance but it's how Santorum could get the nomination - and even he's a Catholic.
With the Koch brothers behind him even Malcolm X would stand a chance. As usual the media is spending far too much time on the candidates and nowhere near enough on precisely WHO is backing them and for whose benefit.
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