Post subject: Re: Time to predict the score & why?
Posted: Fri Feb 04, 2011 11:46 am
Mild Rover
Moderator
Joined: Jun 01 2007 Posts: 12665 Location: Leicestershire.
dayvoz wrote:if your so confident you could clean up at the bookies cos your saying they've got it so wrong,i bet their quaking in their boots
Bookmaking is about maths not opinions. You could use a 'Wisdom of Crowds' argument, but this particular market is distorted by certain, different sized, parts of the crowd desiring particular outcomes.
'Thus I am tormented by my curiosity and humbled by my ignorance.' from History of an Old Bramin, The New York Mirror (A Weekly Journal Devoted to Literature and the Fine Arts), February 16th 1833.
Post subject: Re: Time to predict the score & why?
Posted: Fri Feb 04, 2011 12:36 pm
dayvoz
Player Coach
Joined: Jul 18 2010 Posts: 1288 Location: where dobbins board & squad live west of the river
Mild Rover wrote:Bookmaking is about maths not opinions. You could use a 'Wisdom of Crowds' argument, but this particular market is distorted by certain, different sized, parts of the crowd desiring particular outcomes.
yes as i said for whatever reason, their odds should look very very tempting to all the people who think this game is a 20 point victory to the dobbins,as the bookies will give odds against a kr win its not rocket science
eastul105 wrote lets be fair Mickey Paea is too good for us.
Post subject: Re: Time to predict the score & why?
Posted: Fri Feb 04, 2011 12:48 pm
Mild Rover
Moderator
Joined: Jun 01 2007 Posts: 12665 Location: Leicestershire.
dayvoz wrote:yes as i said for whatever reason, their odds should look very very tempting to all the people who think this game is a 20 point victory to the dobbins,as the bookies will give odds against a kr win its not rocket science
You suggested that GraftonRed believed the bookies were wrong. My point is that bookies don't really have opinions, they balance the herd and the size of the Hull FC punt will be bigger than the Hull KR, so our odds/handicap will likely always be a bit more generous than they should be.
'Thus I am tormented by my curiosity and humbled by my ignorance.' from History of an Old Bramin, The New York Mirror (A Weekly Journal Devoted to Literature and the Fine Arts), February 16th 1833.
Post subject: Re: Time to predict the score & why?
Posted: Fri Feb 04, 2011 1:27 pm
Sandro II Terrorista
Player Coach
Joined: Jan 15 2007 Posts: 11924 Location: Secret Hill Top Lair. V.2
Mild Rover wrote:You suggested that GraftonRed believed the bookies were wrong. My point is that bookies don't really have opinions, they balance the herd and the size of the Hull FC punt will be bigger than the Hull KR, so our odds/handicap will likely always be a bit more generous than they should be.
I think this is a new low.
It can't get much worse than having to explain someone's own posts to them.
If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and yet depreciate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground. They want rain without thunder and lightning. They want the ocean without the awful roar of its many waters. This struggle may be a moral one; or it may be a physical one; or it may be both moral and physical; but it must be a struggle.
Post subject: Re: Time to predict the score & why?
Posted: Fri Feb 04, 2011 1:39 pm
Easty
Club Owner
Joined: Sep 23 2003 Posts: 14306 Location: East Hull
sportingbet receipt wrote:10.00 GBP Open Accumulator (478.20 GBP)
Rugby League Huddersfield v Warrington Handicap Prices Warrington 10/11 -6 Rugby League Catalans v Harlequins Handicap Prices Catalans 10/11 -6 Rugby League St Helens v Wigan Handicap Prices Wigan 4/5 -2 Rugby League Crusaders v Salford Handicap Prices Salford 10/11 -4 Rugby League Bradford v Leeds Handicap Prices Leeds 10/11 -6 Rugby League Hull FC v Hull KR Handicap Prices Hull KR EVS +2
sportingbet receipt wrote:10.00 GBP Open Accumulator (250.49 GBP)
Rugby League Huddersfield v Warrington Handicap Prices Warrington 10/11 -6 Rugby League Catalans v Harlequins Handicap Prices Catalans 10/11 -6 Rugby League St Helens v Wigan Handicap Prices Wigan 4/5 -2 Rugby League Bradford v Leeds Handicap Prices Leeds 10/11 -6 Rugby League Hull FC v Hull KR Handicap Prices Hull KR EVS +2
Not bad odds really.
"They supercede individuals, they supercede the team and they supercede the club. Our club is a traditional, working class club and the supporters are loyal and passionate and to see them go away happy really makes my day." Craig Sandercock.
Post subject: Re: Time to predict the score & why?
Posted: Fri Feb 04, 2011 2:32 pm
dayvoz
Player Coach
Joined: Jul 18 2010 Posts: 1288 Location: where dobbins board & squad live west of the river
Mild Rover wrote:You suggested that GraftonRed believed the bookies were wrong. My point is that bookies don't really have opinions, they balance the herd and the size of the Hull FC punt will be bigger than the Hull KR, so our odds/handicap will likely always be a bit more generous than they should be.
total rubbish,why would more people back hull f.c to win if they were clearly inferior to an opponent with less supporters,hull have more support than saints but are never favourites to beat them
eastul105 wrote lets be fair Mickey Paea is too good for us.
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