Wire_85 wrote:Thing is though if it goes Cheltenham and beats say a couple of 135-145 rated horses then the 6/1 will then become 9/2 or 4/1 maybe lower, duffs it then its back out to 16s maybe 20s like Menorah did before it won the Supreme thats just the risk you take.
It sure is and I for one hope you reap the rewards. For me, I'd just like to see some good form before commiting to getting on for Cheltenham, we're very early into the season and I'm certain by end of Nov/early December we'll have a much more competitive market and I think even with a good run at Paddy Power meeting he'll still be around 6s anyway. I like to be more cautious for my festival bets, it's easy to get caught up in early season hype and back something before letting the form develop.
Wire_85 wrote:Dunguib is a great puzzle am already on at 6/1 for Champion Hurdle after making the big mistake of expecting it to win the first at Cheltenham but I have nibbled at 22/1 E/W Champion Hurdle and 99/1 for the World Hurdle, remember a few coming on here after it came third in Supreme novices saying it did nothing in Ireland beating dogs not really true when it won the Deloitte in unreal fashion beating Fionnegas - was last seen giving Reve De Sivola a right run for its money in a Grade 1 and is rated 147 over hurdles.
You can hardly say thats nothing last I read was Fenton was giving it two runs in 2011 before Cheltenham maybe the thinking is that it was on the go too much last year after winning the bumper it then went Punchestown for another bumper and schooled over hurdles as well, then came back in August more schooling then 4 races before the Supreme, so thats 8 races from 2009 to now which is a alot for a horse that gets lit up easy and even though it was 6yo it hadn't been used to that before just maybe it was overcooked last March.
You're preaching to the converted here mate, I'm with you all the way. I think there was a lot of eagerness to get the horse out running and a lot of hype that surrounded him, he was quite green and destroyed everything he faced in Ireland, I thought he ran an awful lot pre Cheltenham and thought he had a two races too many at least, I'm sure they'll be a lot more particular this season and fingers crossed that'll see a much more improved Dunguib and he can silence some doubters next March.