richardviking wrote:Seven over so far today Rory. I'm tempted to back Casey, he's looking good. But at the end of the day, Scottish links golf is a lottery.
I hope to be proven wrong but Casey seems to bottle it as soon as he gets in contention.
If you look at the probability that Oosthuizen will fall away (and if hdoesn't then fair play to the lad) and you put the 'lead' at -6 then there are some brilliant players in with chances. Casey, Westwood, McDowell, Woods, Goosen all have big chances if they can handle the wind. I really fancy a british player (probably McDowell) to come through with their course knowledge.
If the wind blows, I'd expect -6 or -7 to be leading going into Sunday. It's Oosthuziens to throw away though but we saw what happened to Rory yesterday.