Joined: Mar 14 2003 Posts: 25964 Location: Back in Hull.
Burtons Forearm wrote:So half are predicting a possible 4th place finish...you can dress it how you want but that looks like 50% give or take 1.
Did you sell mortgages for RBS Mrs B?
You all either believe in father Christmas or have a grumbling psychotic illness if you think you'll finish fourth. 4-6 is pushing it. The ONLY chance of above 6th is if sneyd and Houghton play all year....at their very best.
So we can only possible move up one place, let's hope it's the same for Rovers then and once again you will be back were you belong playing the likes of Sheffield and Leigh.
I used the first 10 as a sample because they're the honest predictions. Once you get past 10 the usual schlurpers come aboard smacking down anyone with a different opinion to theirs.
Joined: Jul 15 2005 Posts: 29811 Location: West Yorkshire
Burtons Forearm wrote:So half are predicting a possible 4th place finish...you can dress it how you want but that looks like 50% give or take 1.
Did you sell mortgages for RBS Mrs B?
You all either believe in father Christmas or have a grumbling psychotic illness if you think you'll finish fourth. 4-6 is pushing it. The ONLY chance of above 6th is if sneyd and Houghton play all year....at their very best.
Your friend said the majority were predicting we're nailed on top 4 minimum. In fact it's 24%. 76% are therefore not predicting Top 4 minimum. "Dress it how you want" but on average the prediction's, what, 5th? We finished 7th before the split in 2015. Your indignation seems a tad intense in this context.
Joined: Jul 15 2005 Posts: 29811 Location: West Yorkshire
Chester Wednesday wrote:I used the first 10 as a sample because they're the honest predictions. Once you get past 10 the usual schlurpers come aboard smacking down anyone with a different opinion to theirs.
But even your analysis on that was wrong. "The majority of posters have you nailed on for fourth minimum". Pretty definitive statement and, sadly for you, insupportable. "Smacking down"? Wow.
Joined: Jul 15 2005 Posts: 29811 Location: West Yorkshire
Chester Wednesday wrote:60% of the first 10 predicted top 4. First 10 As I've stated 4 times now
"The majority of posters have you nailed on for fourth minimum". Using the first 10, only 4 predicted top 4 minimum. As I've stated several times now. Based on the actual thread, and not your weak attempt at post-justification through limited sample size, it's 24%. Oh dear.
Joined: Jul 15 2005 Posts: 29811 Location: West Yorkshire
Chester Wednesday wrote:No. 6 of the first 10 predictors have hull in 4 th place
No they don't. Unless you're saying 4th-6th is a definitive prediction of 4th. Which is clearly incorrect. Your initial segmentation of predictions was as follows: "Well over half are predicting top 4. Plenty morespeculating 4th 5th or 6th."
Even applying this to your contrived subset, it's 40% top 4, 30% 4th-6th, 30% 6th or below. Whichever way you cut it, you're wrong.
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