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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 12:34 pm 
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Couple of interesting results from a recent MORI poll:

Respondents believed that around 15% of girls under the age of 16 get pregnant, where the true figure is close to 0.6%

The perception was that 24% of the benefit bill is made up of fraudulent claims, whereas the official fraud figure is only 0.7%

The benefit cap is estimated to save £290m, yet 33% of respondents picked this from a list of suggestions to cut public spending where they were only able to choose one option. The list also included raising the pension age to 66 for both genders (estimated to save £5bn) and the new child benefit charge on higher earners (estimated saving of £1.7bn) among others.

It seems the propaganda wagon - fuelled by the BBC's slavish obsession of repeating every piece of government statement as fact - is rolling along nicely. Anyone who caught former Oxford University Conservative Association Nick Robinson's attempts to dismiss the opacity in Tory funding while riding the Falkirk scandal for all he could get out of it really shouldn't be surprised.






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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 12:40 pm 
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Talking of stats and polls The Guardian reports this morning that the Tories and Labour are now both on 37% in opinion polls - Tories having recovered a big chunk of their UKIP protest vote. So, as I said 2 Eds are destroying Labour's chances. We'll see a Tory landslide if there is any semblance of economic recovery.

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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 12:47 pm 
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Vic Meldrew wrote:When I offer x amount of weeks work to someone and they say it's not worth signing off for, it DOES state to me that they are paid too much to sit at home.


How many weeks work have you been offering?

How low does x have to be to justify them in their opinion that it's not worth their effort?

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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 12:58 pm 
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Lord God Jose Mourinho wrote:How many weeks work have you been offering?

How low does x have to be to justify them in their opinion that it's not worth their effort?



I have just offered a 27 year old labourer 2 weeks work operating a cherry picker on a Tesco Superstore in Cardiff at £10.00 per hour. Very easy work and a good fair rate of pay.

2 weeks work @ 40 hours a week - £400 - deductions.

The candidate has refused this work as it's not worth his while as his rent gets paid for him.

It should be easier for him to sign off, work for 2 weeks and not receive benefits and then sign back on without any delay in his benefits as that would be an incentive for him to work. Rather than sign off, work for 2 weeks and then have to wait 6 weeks for his benefits to go back to how they were.

It is the system that needs to change as it penalising people for working on short term contracts, which however way you look at it is the way that this country is heading for employment in the future.

In answer to the question x weeks work I believe I have had various responses,but anything less than 6 weeks work doesn't seem to be of interest. Baring in mind this is construction work and once the site is complete the contractor very often moves on it is by it's very nature a short term industry.






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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 1:00 pm 
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Andy Gilder wrote:Couple of interesting results from a recent MORI poll:

The perception was that 24% of the benefit bill is made up of fraudulent claims, whereas the official fraud figure is only 0.7%

It seems the propaganda wagon - fuelled by the BBC's slavish obsession of repeating every piece of government statement as fact - is rolling along nicely. Anyone who caught former Oxford University Conservative Association Nick Robinson's attempts to dismiss the opacity in Tory funding while riding the Falkirk scandal for all he could get out of it really shouldn't be surprised.


The official fraud figure is unknown as those claiming fraudulently don't declare it! It could be as high as 24%, though I doubt it as we will never know. The official fraud figure should be the amount caught frauding figure.






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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 1:13 pm 
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Vic Meldrew wrote:I have just offered a 27 year old labourer 2 weeks work operating a cherry picker on a Tesco Superstore in Cardiff at £10.00 per hour. Very easy work and a good fair rate of pay.

2 weeks work @ 40 hours a week - £400 - deductions.

The candidate has refused this work as it's not worth his while as his rent gets paid for him.

It should be easier for him to sign off, work for 2 weeks and not receive benefits and then sign back on without any delay in his benefits as that would be an incentive for him to work. Rather than sign off, work for 2 weeks and then have to wait 6 weeks for his benefits to go back to how they were.


Your previous post put the blame squarely on him and said that he was paid too much to sit at home.

What are the £400 deductions for? That's half of his pay.

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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 1:16 pm 
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Dally wrote:Talking of stats and polls The Guardian reports this morning that the Tories and Labour are now both on 37% in opinion polls - Tories having recovered a big chunk of their UKIP protest vote. So, as I said 2 Eds are destroying Labour's chances. We'll see a Tory landslide if there is any semblance of economic recovery.


For the Tories to win they have to poll something like 5% more than Labour in a general election.

If they do then the country will get the government it deserves which will be one that sees all bar the very rich worse off as the NHS really will be destroyed and any welfare cut to the bone.

The Tories are certainly winning the propaganda war on the issue of the benefits cap but as El B points out the reality is it saves very little in comparison to other areas of expenditure.

It seems the people of the UK will cut their noses off to spite their own face. Whether they have been hoodwinked into this by propaganda or truly are just plain thick I don't know.

Labour is at fault with allowing this situation to devlop and Liam Byrne should just cross the house and be done with it.

What is sad is the argument against the simplistic cuts philosophy is easy to make.

Is dishing out £26K+ in benefits too much? Yes but why is it so high a figure?

Answer? It is rarely that high as this and is the exception rather than the rule but when it is this high you can guarantee housing benefit (not seen by the claimant) is the root cause so high rents need to be be tackled.

This is a very simple message and it beggars belief it isn't one being made strongly.

As to the propaganda though I heard some idiot from the Sun on the Jeremy Vine show at lunchtime and when this point was put to him his response was such people should simply move elsewhere in the country to where rents are lower.

We all know the obvious flaws with this argument such as who would clean the offices in Canary Wharf if this happened etc but it was yet another example of the simplistic logic peddled by people in a position to peddle it! And what is worse people in the UK believe it!






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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 1:22 pm 
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Vic Meldrew wrote:The official fraud figure is unknown as those claiming fraudulently don't declare it! It could be as high as 24%, though I doubt it as we will never know. The official fraud figure should be the amount caught frauding figure.


I think we'd know if it was 24%. The newspapers would be queuing up to expose them as they egg on the cuts agenda.

My understanding was the 0.7% is the governments own estimate as to the level of fraudulent claims and the fact it is the governments own estimate is VERY important as you would think it would formulate policy based on its own statistics.

So when the government itself can see how little its own estimates are for fraudulent benefit claims compared to its own estimates for tax evasion you might think the big issue of the day from the governments point of view would be the latter.

Well it clearly isn't and there is only one reason why that is and it clearly isn't economics. It's ideology.






Last league derby at Central Park 5/9/1999: Wigan 28 St. Helens 20
Last league derby at Knowsley Road 2/4/2010: St. Helens 10 Wigan 18

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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 2:22 pm 
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Vic Meldrew wrote:It should be easier for him to sign off, work for 2 weeks and not receive benefits and then sign back on without any delay in his benefits as that would be an incentive for him to work. Rather than sign off, work for 2 weeks and then have to wait 6 weeks for his benefits to go back to how they were.

It is the system that needs to change as it penalising people for working on short term contracts, which however way you look at it is the way that this country is heading for employment in the future.




I think you've answered your own question right there, if I was totally honest and in the same situation then I would possibly do the same and I think you possibly would too - it should be possible to "switch" between work and support on as regular a basis as required, as you say temporary employment is the way we are all heading.

Strange thing is, in the days of the old unemployment exchange and "the dole" when it was all done with paper forms and biros you could do just that.






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 Post subject: Re: Tory Britain 2013
PostPosted: Tue Jul 16, 2013 2:27 pm 
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JerryChicken wrote:I think you've answered your own question right there, if I was totally honest and in the same situation then I would possibly do the same and I think you possibly would too - it should be possible to "switch" between work and support on as regular a basis as required, as you say temporary employment is the way we are all heading.

Strange thing is, in the days of the old unemployment exchange and "the dole" when it was all done with paper forms and biros you could do just that.


Quite.

There's long been an issue that successive governments have refused to tackle of, say, seasonal workers not being able to easily sign on when that job has finished.






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