Sal Paradise wrote:I completely disagree - I bought my first house in 1984 with a 95% mortgage that's 30 years ago and it was and has been the norm for first time buyers since that time. The majority of issues in the property market are not with people who have a single home but those greedy individuals who believed a fast buck could be made out of owning several properties. Given the cost of housing in some areas 5% represents a significant investment and provided they can make the repayments and owning a house is seen as a long term investment I fail to see the issue.
Perhaps you want to keep the average joe from owning their own property - I would hazard a guess you own your own property and can see the longer term benefits of doing so.
I don't have an issue with 95% mortgages because, as you say, they were the norm but also for the reason that, by saving towards that 5% deposit, the buyer demonstrates that they have the income to be able to afford the repayments once the house has been bought.
All that sounds good and sensible to me.
However,
Help To Buy guarantees
up to 25%, interest-free for up to five years.
That is way outside what you or I would recognise as the norm.
Also, it is available for houses up to £600,000 ... now that is not what I'd call a typical first-time-buyer purchase, even in the South East.
One of the biggest problems was Building Societies forgetting their principal purpose by demutualising and going for risky high profits by borrowing cash themselves to use in selling mortgages as big as they possibly could, then selling that debt and using the cash from the sale to get lots of lovely profit.
Hence they were happy to sell 110% mortgages, after all it was a rising market so the asset would soon be worth that 110% price, plus they were selling the debt on, so they wouldn't hold the risk for long anyway, so were also happy to sell self-certified mortgages.
As they were quickly selling the debt on, they didn't need (or so they thought) to have large amounts of capitalisation to cover the debt (on their borrowings) and risk (on the mortgages sold but not yet sold-on) that they were carrying at any one time.
But a major hiccup such as a dip in selling the debt or large numbers of defaults in mortgage repayments or one bank getting into liquidity trouble would bring the whole thing tumbling down ... and it did, bringing any institution that had over-invested in that dodgy debt down with it.
I think Dally may be seeing the "up to 25%" deposit from the
Help To Buy scheme as potentially fuelling another housing bubble ... and he may well have a point (if that is indeed his point) because, as well as helping people onto the ladder, it could well also encourage overspend and, hence, higher house prices, bearing in mind that, at the moment, the average house costs 5.5. times the average wage.
Back in the day when you and I bought into the housing market, one could only borrow 3 to 3.5 times one's annual salary, which acted as a brake on prices.
Anyway, interesting as discussing house prices might be, it doesn't answer Mintball's original question.
It seems as though no-one wants to defend the government on that issue.